Program: International Trade and Macroeconomic Interdependence in the Age of Global Value Chains, Vilnius, 15-16 September 2016

CEBRA’s International Trade and Macroeconomics Research Program is pleased to announce the program of its inaugural annual conference on  International Trade and Macroeconomic Interdependence in the Age of Global Value Chains. The event takes place in Vilnius, on 15-16 September 2016 and is co-organized with the Bank of Lithuania, the National Bank of Poland, and the Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR).

Organizing Committee:

Michal Brzoza-Brzezina, National Bank of Poland and CEBRA

Mihnea Constantinescu, Bank of Lithuania and CEBRA

Jan Hagemejer, National Bank of Poland

Fabio Ghironi, University of Washington, CEBRA and CEPR

Gianmarco I. P. Ottaviano, London School of Economics, CEBRA and CEPR

 

Preliminary Program

 

Thursday, September 15

8:00     Coffee and Registration

8:30     Welcoming Remarks: TBA

9:00     Keynote Panel: Rethinking Trade and Interdependence in the Age of GVCs

Richard Baldwin, Graduate Institute, Geneva and CEPR

Fabio Ghironi, University of Washington, CEBRA and CEPR

David Haugh, Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development

10:30   Coffee Break

11:00   Invited Presentation: Peak trade? An Anatomy of the Recent Global Trade Slowdown

Marcel Timmer, University of Groningen

With:

Bart Los, University of Groningen

Robert Stehrer, Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies

Gaaitzen de Vries, University of Groningen

12:00   Lunch

1:00     Session 1: GVCs and Labor Markets, Chair: TBA

Routine Jobs, Employment and Technological Innovation in Global Value Chains

Luca Marcolin, Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development

Sébastien Miroudot, Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development

Mariagazia Squicciarini, Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development

Discussant: Philipp Harms, University of Mainz

 

Offshoring, Low-skilled Immigration and Labor Market Polarization

Federico S. Mandelman, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta

Andrei Zlate, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston

Discussant: Rosario Crino’, Catholic University Milan and CEPR

3:00     Coffee Break

3:30     Session 2: GVC Organization, Chair: Mihnea Constantinescu, Bank of Lithuania

Do Multinationals Transplant Their Business Model?

Dalia Marin, University of Munich and CEPR

Linda Rousova, European Central Bank

Thierry Verdier, Paris School of Economics and CEPR

Discussant: TBA

Managing Export Complexity: The Role of Service Outsourcing

Giuseppe Berlingieri, London School of Economics

Discussant: Alessandro Barattieri, Collegio Carlo Alberto, Turin

5:30     Adjourn

6:00     Dinner (for program participants only)

 

Friday, September 16

 

9:00     Invited Presentation: Internalizing Global Value Chains: A Firm-Level Analysis

Laura Alfaro, Harvard University

With:

Pol Antràs, Harvard University and CEPR

Davin Chor, National University of Singapore

Paola Conconi, Université Libre de Bruxelles and CEPR

10:00   Coffee Break

10:30   Session 3: GVCs and Prices, Chair: TBA

Global Value Chains and Effective Exchange Rates at the Country-Sector Level

Nikhil Patel, Bank for International Settlements

Zhi Wang, United States International Trade Commission

Shang-Jin Wei, Asia Development Bank and CEPR

Discussant: Rudolfs Bems, University of Tokyo

 

International Inflation Spillovers through Input Linkages

Raphael A. Auer, Bank for International Settlements, CEBRA and CEPR

Andrei A. Levchenko, University of Michigan, CEBRA and CEPR

Philip Sauré, Swiss National Bank

Discussant: Sophie Guilloux-Nefussi, Bank of France

12:30   Lunch

1:30     Session 4: GVC Hubs, Chair: Fabio Ghironi, University of Washington, CEBRA and CEPR

Fundamental Moments

Jean Imbs, Paris School of Economics and CEPR

Laurent L. Pauwels, University of Sydney

Discussant: Aleksandra Parteka, Gdansk University of Technology

2:30     Coffee Break

3:00     Session 5: GVCs and Macroeconomic Issues, Chair: Fabio Ghironi, University of Washington, CEBRA and CEPR

Global Value Chain Participation and Current Account Imbalances

Johannes Brumm, University of Zurich

Georgios Georgiadis, European Central Bank

Johannes Gräb, European Central Bank

Fabian Trottner, Princeton University

Discussant: Gianluca Benigno, London School of Economics and CEPR

 

Global Perspective on Structural Labour Market Reforms in Europe

Povilas Lastauskas, University of Cambridge

Julius Stakenas, Bank of Lithuania

Discussant: Matteo Cacciatore, HEC Montréal

5:00                 Adjourn

 

 

 

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