CEBRA’s International Trade and Macroeconomics Research Program is pleased to announce the program of its inaugural annual conference on International Trade and Macroeconomic Interdependence in the Age of Global Value Chains. The event takes place in Vilnius, on 15-16 September 2016 and is co-organized with the Bank of Lithuania, the National Bank of Poland, and the Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR).
Organizing Committee:
Michal Brzoza-Brzezina, National Bank of Poland and CEBRA
Mihnea Constantinescu, Bank of Lithuania and CEBRA
Jan Hagemejer, National Bank of Poland
Fabio Ghironi, University of Washington, CEBRA and CEPR
Gianmarco I. P. Ottaviano, London School of Economics, CEBRA and CEPR
Preliminary Program
Thursday, September 15
8:00 Coffee and Registration
8:30 Welcoming Remarks: TBA
9:00 Keynote Panel: Rethinking Trade and Interdependence in the Age of GVCs
Richard Baldwin, Graduate Institute, Geneva and CEPR
Fabio Ghironi, University of Washington, CEBRA and CEPR
David Haugh, Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development
10:30 Coffee Break
11:00 Invited Presentation: Peak trade? An Anatomy of the Recent Global Trade Slowdown
Marcel Timmer, University of Groningen
With:
Bart Los, University of Groningen
Robert Stehrer, Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies
Gaaitzen de Vries, University of Groningen
12:00 Lunch
1:00 Session 1: GVCs and Labor Markets, Chair: TBA
Routine Jobs, Employment and Technological Innovation in Global Value Chains
Luca Marcolin, Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development
Sébastien Miroudot, Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development
Mariagazia Squicciarini, Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development
Discussant: Philipp Harms, University of Mainz
Offshoring, Low-skilled Immigration and Labor Market Polarization
Federico S. Mandelman, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta
Andrei Zlate, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston
Discussant: Rosario Crino’, Catholic University Milan and CEPR
3:00 Coffee Break
3:30 Session 2: GVC Organization, Chair: Mihnea Constantinescu, Bank of Lithuania
Do Multinationals Transplant Their Business Model?
Dalia Marin, University of Munich and CEPR
Linda Rousova, European Central Bank
Thierry Verdier, Paris School of Economics and CEPR
Discussant: TBA
Managing Export Complexity: The Role of Service Outsourcing
Giuseppe Berlingieri, London School of Economics
Discussant: Alessandro Barattieri, Collegio Carlo Alberto, Turin
5:30 Adjourn
6:00 Dinner (for program participants only)
Friday, September 16
9:00 Invited Presentation: Internalizing Global Value Chains: A Firm-Level Analysis
Laura Alfaro, Harvard University
With:
Pol Antràs, Harvard University and CEPR
Davin Chor, National University of Singapore
Paola Conconi, Université Libre de Bruxelles and CEPR
10:00 Coffee Break
10:30 Session 3: GVCs and Prices, Chair: TBA
Global Value Chains and Effective Exchange Rates at the Country-Sector Level
Nikhil Patel, Bank for International Settlements
Zhi Wang, United States International Trade Commission
Shang-Jin Wei, Asia Development Bank and CEPR
Discussant: Rudolfs Bems, University of Tokyo
International Inflation Spillovers through Input Linkages
Raphael A. Auer, Bank for International Settlements, CEBRA and CEPR
Andrei A. Levchenko, University of Michigan, CEBRA and CEPR
Philip Sauré, Swiss National Bank
Discussant: Sophie Guilloux-Nefussi, Bank of France
12:30 Lunch
1:30 Session 4: GVC Hubs, Chair: Fabio Ghironi, University of Washington, CEBRA and CEPR
Fundamental Moments
Jean Imbs, Paris School of Economics and CEPR
Laurent L. Pauwels, University of Sydney
Discussant: Aleksandra Parteka, Gdansk University of Technology
2:30 Coffee Break
3:00 Session 5: GVCs and Macroeconomic Issues, Chair: Fabio Ghironi, University of Washington, CEBRA and CEPR
Global Value Chain Participation and Current Account Imbalances
Johannes Brumm, University of Zurich
Georgios Georgiadis, European Central Bank
Johannes Gräb, European Central Bank
Fabian Trottner, Princeton University
Discussant: Gianluca Benigno, London School of Economics and CEPR
Global Perspective on Structural Labour Market Reforms in Europe
Povilas Lastauskas, University of Cambridge
Julius Stakenas, Bank of Lithuania
Discussant: Matteo Cacciatore, HEC Montréal
5:00 Adjourn
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